| |
|
|
| |
Real Estate ETFs-REITs
|
|
 |
| |
About Real Estate ETFs-REITs |
|
Real Estate ETFs and REITs Overview and forecast
The real estate market went down in flames during the US housing crisis, and the follow through hits on the credit market were the real crash. In some places, like the UK, the housing market literally collapsed. This is one of the toughest real estate markets in living memory.
The Real Estate ETFs and REITs, therefore, have had some tough revaluations, including an almost vertical drop of nearly 50% in some cases during late 2008. To give some idea of the impact, many REITs invest in trusts themselves, and even those generally conservative, professional investments were severely down- valued.
The real nuclear strike was in the US, overall, which went from bubble to used chewing gum as a result of the credit crunch, and the sudden severe tightening of lending policies, which hit both commercial and residential markets hard. Capital evaporated, and slight improvements haven't really impacted on the retail markets. The actual investment market has picked up, but it's still way below the glory days of high unit prices, as far as the Real Estate ETFs and REITs are concerned.
Short term (6 months)
The Real Estate ETFs and REITs, however, have become very popular, and have been rising in good margins for traders, since the big crash. This is an unusual market, because some heavy trading is apparent in these Real Estate ETFs and REITs prior to the crash, at much higher prices. After the big drop, they've been trading fiercely, in millions of units.
The renovation has definitely generated interest, and these ETFs and REITs are popular traders. In the first six months of 2009, some of the Real Estate ETFs and REITs have a perfect V shape of fall and rise, meaning the traders are doing well out of the new price ranges.
Medium term (2 years)
Working on the assumption of a slow, groaning return to a more rational real estate market, which seems to be what's happening at cosmically slow speed, the Real Estate ETFs and REITs look quite good. An influx of new capital will expand their markets, and these funds and trusts are standard components of good investment spreads, by all normal models.
However- A brief look at the charts for this class will tell anyone that performances have been quite different. Some are doing reasonably well, others aren't worth looking at, in terms of returns. The medium term in this market is likely to exacerbate those differences. Property investments, even in trusts, are very much management issues. Some are obviously not picking up, and others are looking pretty unconvincing, in terms of their 3- 6 month returns. The medium term is otherwise looking OK to good, with realistic upsides.
Long term (5 years)
It is reasonable to assume that from a position of 100% lousy, things will get better for the Real Estate ETFs and REITs. Demand in their market will return, however reluctantly, and with whatever levels of difficulty, because of natural growth. So real values will improve.
Whether or not, compared to other forms of investment, this is necessarily good enough is another matter. A slow resurgence could mean very slow returns on the sector. That will drive out and annoy investors, because few if any traders are interested in non- performers, or purely growth based unit values. Traders are propping up the current market to a considerable extent, and if they move out of the sector, there will be bumps, perhaps big ones.
Qualifiers to projections
Some of the Real Estate ETFs and REITs are in very unstable markets, like Asia, others seem to be specialists who have managed to avoid meltdowns even in the UK market. This group operates in choppy areas of investment, and it's advisable to not only look the gift horse in the mouth, but ask to see some ID first, and to check both the teeth and the dentist.
The global property market, residential and retail, hasn't improved much. The US property market is still essentially in a hole. Capital isn't forthcoming, and nor is capital policy, from the big lenders, which are still playing safe. That situation isn't likely to change in a hurry, until some real cashflow starts up in the US economy.
Good traders as they are, what's needed to make the Real Estate ETFs and REITs really fire up is a definite, unambiguous improvement in the capital markets. It will happen, but caution is the way to go.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
 |
|
Last Updated on: 2010-01-14 02:03:40 |
| |
|
|
| |
|
Quotes are updated automatically. Quotes are delayed. Etftips.com has not
reviewed, and in no way endorses the validity the data. Etftips.com shall not be
liable for any actions taken in thereon. All information provided "as is" for
informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice.
Neither Etftips.com nor any of independent providers is liable for any
informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any action taken in
reliance on information contained herein. By accessing the Etftips.com site, you
agree not to redistribute the information found herein. ETF Values can go up as
well as down.
|
| |
| Copyright EtfTips.com ©2009 |
|
|
| |
|
|